Formartine United vs Strathspey Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+167%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
4º
10
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 3
FOR
9%
15%
77%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MON
4 - 3
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
HUN
0 - 1
FOR
15%
21%
65%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 4
FOR
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STR
0 - 4
FOR
12%
16%
71%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
INV
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 2
STR
17%
17%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 1
STR
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
STR
3 - 1
FOR
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +5 |