Formartine United vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
4º
27
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
HUN
86%
10%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
5 - 0
LOS
88%
8%
4%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
FRA
21%
20%
60%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NAI
1 - 1
FOR
16%
19%
66%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BRO
6 - 1
KEI
90%
8%
3%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KEI
2 - 2
FRA
5%
11%
84%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KEI
2 - 1
TUR
52%
20%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
INV
2 - 0
KEI
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 5
BUC
5%
11%
85%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |