Formartine United vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
71.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BUC
1 - 0
FOR
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
5 - 1
CLA
93%
6%
1%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
DEV
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WIC
0 - 5
FOR
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 4
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
GLE
4 - 1
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
WAR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
CLI
3 - 1
GLE
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |