Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
4º
36
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 2
FOR
27%
24%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 3
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
THE
64%
19%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 0
FOR
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
BRO
23%
20%
56%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 2
WIC
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 3
ROT
26%
22%
53%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
GLA
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
FOR
21%
20%
60%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |