Formartine United vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 0
FOR
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
BRO
23%
20%
56%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 2
FOR
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
INV
1 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
NAI
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THE
2 - 2
TRA
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 1
THE
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
THE
0 - 2
HOM
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
5 - 2
THE
12%
15%
74%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BER
3 - 0
THE
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |