Formartine United vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 4
COV
32%
23%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
TUR
69%
18%
14%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 0
KEI
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
6 - 1
LOS
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
WIC
3 - 2
FOR
21%
21%
58%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 3
THE
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
THE
0 - 1
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EAS
0 - 5
THE
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
STI
3 - 1
THE
35%
24%
42%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 2
THE
15%
18%
68%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |