Formartine United vs Deveronvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
4º
24
10º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAN
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 0
WIC
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
TUR
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
FOR
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
FOR
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 4
BAN
9%
14%
78%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CLA
3 - 1
DEV
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 0
TUR
29%
21%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KEI
1 - 1
DEV
71%
16%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |