Formartine United vs Clachnacuddin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
4º
34
11º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 4
FOR
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 0
KEI
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
HUN
86%
10%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
5 - 0
LOS
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Clachnacuddin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLA
2 - 0
FOR
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 2
CLA
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 3
WIC
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
INV
2 - 4
CLA
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CLA
0 - 2
NAI
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |