Forli vs Corticella analysis

Forli Corticella
48 ELO 45
-3.4% Tilt -9.4%
2780º General ELO ranking 4208º
102º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Forli
24.8%
Draw
33.8%
Corticella

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
Forli
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.8%
Win probability
Corticella
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forli
+66%
-43%
Corticella

Points and table prediction

Forli
Their league position
Corticella
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
10º
22
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ravenna FC
51
75
54%
Forli
51
74
44%
Tau Altopascio
48
71
55.5%
Lentigione
41
62
62%
Pistoiese
41
59
54.5%
Prato
29
47
16.5%
Imolese
32
47
20.5%
Piacenza
11º
25
46
15.5%
Corticella
14º
22
43
20%
Cittadella Vis Modena
28
39
10º
13.5%
Tuttocuoio
30
38
11º
12%
Sasso Marconi
10º
25
37
12º
14.5%
San Marino Calcio
15º
22
37
13º
10.5%
Progresso
12º
24
36
14º
19%
Zenith Prato
13º
23
34
15º
12.5%
Riccione
16º
19
34
16º
15%
Fiorenzuola
18º
16
31
17º
23%
Sammaurese
17º
16
28
18º
46.5%
Expected probabilities
Forli
Corticella
Promotion
34% 0%
Promotion play-offs
66% 2%
Mid-table
0% 80%
Relegation play-offs
0% 16.5%
Relegation
0% 1.5%

ELO progression

Forli
Corticella
Fiorenzuola
Tau Altopascio
Zenith Prato
Cittadella Vis Modena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forli
Forli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
ZEN
Zenith Prato
0 - 3
Forli
FOR
12%
17%
71%
46 8 38 0
15 Sep. 2024
RIC
Riccione
1 - 2
Forli
FOR
36%
26%
38%
45 39 6 +1
08 Sep. 2024
FOR
Forli
0 - 0
Sammaurese
SAM
61%
21%
18%
45 39 6 0
07 Aug. 2024
CES
Cesena U19
2 - 4
Forli
FOR
41%
25%
34%
45 43 2 0
03 Aug. 2024
SPA
SPAL
2 - 0
Forli
FOR
78%
15%
7%
45 65 20 0

Matches

Corticella
Corticella
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
COR
Corticella
2 - 0
San Marino Calcio
SAN
58%
21%
21%
46 40 6 0
15 Sep. 2024
PIA
Piacenza
2 - 0
Corticella
COR
60%
22%
18%
47 54 7 -1
08 Sep. 2024
COR
Corticella
2 - 3
Imolese
IMO
63%
21%
16%
47 42 5 0
19 May. 2024
RAV
Ravenna FC
2 - 1
Corticella
COR
54%
23%
23%
48 54 6 -1
12 May. 2024
COR
Corticella
2 - 1
Victor San Marino
VSM
60%
21%
20%
48 39 9 0