Forli vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CUN
2 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
BV5
28%
26%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 2
FOR
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
USA
0 - 3
REN
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RIM
0 - 0
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
USA
2 - 0
REA
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 1
USA
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |