Forli vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
3 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
REA
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
USA
2 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CUN
19%
24%
58%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +4 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 2
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
CUN
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 1
SPA
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
DEL
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPA
34%
26%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 1
ASD
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |