Forli vs Sant Angelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
5º
46
1º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 55 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 50 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 50 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 49 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
45 | 46 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
15º
|
45.5% | |
|
16º
|
45 | 45 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
45 | 45 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
69.5% | |
|
19º
|
38 | 39 |
19º
|
69.5% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
90% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 3
FOR
13%
19%
69%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
CRE
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 2
RIC
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAV
2 - 1
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sant Angelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAG
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
USR
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
FAN
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
COR
2 - 6
SAN
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |