Forli vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 3
MAT
18%
26%
57%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
FOR
62%
20%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 2
AVE
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 2
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAM
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |