Forli vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAV
2 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
LAQ
25%
28%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
SPA
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
4 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 4
REG
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ASG
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
SAV
4 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASL
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |