Forli vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
REN
0 - 4
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 2
VNZ
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 1
FCC
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 2
PRO
14%
22%
65%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
4 - 1
RIM
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |