Forli vs Pineto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAV
1 - 0
FOR
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
ISE
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AXY
2 - 1
FOR
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -3 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
RIM
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
IMO
1 - 0
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
3 - 1
PIN
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GIU
0 - 0
PIN
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
PIN
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |