Forli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.4%
75.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
19.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
27.2%
0-2
19.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 1
PIA
16%
26%
58%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
FOR
1 - 0
USF
3%
12%
86%
|
33 | 81 | 48 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -8 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
RAV
2 - 3
FOR
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FOR
2 - 3
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
STR
0 - 1
ACM
29%
28%
43%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
39%
27%
35%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
BAR
1 - 0
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
ZAL
1 - 4
ACM
20%
28%
53%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |