Forli vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
FRA
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
JES
0 - 0
FRA
28%
26%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
JES
61%
23%
16%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
JES
1 - 0
MAT
10%
20%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +4 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
JES
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JES
0 - 2
AVE
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |