Forli vs Imolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
IMO
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 0
BSD
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
CER
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 3
SAM
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
IMO
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CER
0 - 1
IMO
10%
16%
75%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IMO
1 - 1
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 3
IMO
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IMO
1 - 0
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |