Forli vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 0
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOR
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
OLY
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
FOR
82%
14%
5%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 1
FRA
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 0
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
FRA
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |