Forli vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIM
0 - 0
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACG
1 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
USA
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 4
FOR
16%
23%
61%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
2 - 2
ACG
29%
26%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
FAN
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
3 - 3
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
FAN
79%
15%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 6
USA
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |