Forli vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
10%
19%
71%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 1
FOR
44%
24%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASD
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
FOR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 2
ASD
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 2
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
USD
0 - 1
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
FAN
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 4
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |