Forli vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIM
1 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
26%
25%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 3
ROM
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
COR
33%
21%
47%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COR
0 - 2
ASD
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 1
COR
25%
23%
53%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
PIA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |