Forli vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
ASS
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
REN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
BV5
17%
24%
59%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
USA
1 - 0
CAS
76%
17%
8%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACG
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
REN
1 - 2
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASS
17%
24%
59%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |