Forli vs Borgo San Donnino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
16º
5º
28
15º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
CER
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 3
SAM
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
FOR
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
RIC
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BSD
2 - 1
MEZ
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BSD
2 - 2
PRO
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
BSD
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BSD
1 - 5
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 2
BSD
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |