Forli vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAV
2 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
CAT
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
REC
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
JES
1 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ADR
2 - 2
PRO
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ADR
4 - 2
REG
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
ADR
38%
24%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MOD
1 - 0
ADR
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ADR
2 - 1
CAL
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |