Forli vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 2
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
TER
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 1
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
MOD
15%
24%
61%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 3
REG
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
VNZ
1 - 1
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
REG
2 - 0
ABN
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |