Forli vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 1
TUT
41%
27%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PIS
2 - 1
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
GRO
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 4
PON
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACP
37%
28%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 1
PIA
65%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASG
1 - 1
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ACP
3 - 1
ASC
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |