Forli vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
REA
3 - 2
FOR
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
USA
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CUN
2 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 3
SAS
13%
22%
66%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
VIN
81%
14%
5%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 3
BV5
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASS
5 - 0
VIN
87%
10%
3%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 1
RIM
22%
24%
55%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |