Forli vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 3
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VNZ
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ASS
3 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 1
PRO
17%
23%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 1
MAN
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VNZ
4 - 4
VIN
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 1
REN
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 0
VIN
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |