Forjães vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forjães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 4
VIA
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
OSL
5 - 2
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
PED
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 2
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
VIA
58%
23%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |