Forge vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
2º
38
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 13 | 61 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 2
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 4
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
3 - 3
YOR
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 2
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
YOR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 0
PAC
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 4
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |