Forge vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAV
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 2
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
EDM
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
FOR
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 0
EDM
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 0
YOR
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 0
CAV
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PAC
3 - 0
YOR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |