Forge vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
EDM
0 - 1
FOR
20%
28%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
HFX
1 - 1
FOR
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
HFX
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 3
FOR
28%
28%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 1
CAV
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EDM
1 - 3
YOR
36%
29%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
YOR
2 - 4
VAL
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
PAC
0 - 2
YOR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
YOR
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |