Forge vs Vancouver FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+97%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
2º
19
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 42 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 41 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 39 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 32 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 29 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
8º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
48.5% | 0.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
25.5% | 6% |
|
Eliminated
|
4% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
4 - 3
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 2
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
FOR
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
YOR
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
HFX
23%
25%
53%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAV
20%
25%
56%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 2
VAN
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
VAN
72%
18%
10%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | 0 |