Forge vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
2º
26
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 4
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
26%
28%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 3
ATO
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 0
FOR
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
FOR
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ATO
2 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAV
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
VAN
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 12 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
FOR
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |