Forge vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
TAU
1 - 2
FOR
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 2
FOR
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
HFX
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 2
VAL
73%
18%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 2
HFX
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 1
EDM
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 0
VAL
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
YOR
0 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |