CONCACAF League Last 16
Global 2-0
Forge vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
0 - 1
FOR
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
HFX
2 - 0
FOR
24%
29%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
YOR
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
SMI
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
IND
1 - 2
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 3
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
SFF
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |