Forge vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
3º
1º
30
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ATO
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
HFX
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HFX
3 - 2
VAN
70%
19%
10%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
HFX
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HFX
3 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
HFX
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |