Forge vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
1º
25
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 45 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 33 |
5º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
94.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 15.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 84.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ATO
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
HFX
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HFX
3 - 2
VAN
70%
19%
10%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
HFX
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HFX
3 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
HFX
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |