Forge vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
ATO
0 - 4
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 2
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
5 - 1
EDM
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
YOR
0 - 2
FOR
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
HFX
2 - 4
YOR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HFX
1 - 1
EDM
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
CAV
3 - 0
HFX
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
HFX
48%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HFX
0 - 2
ATO
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |