CONCACAF Champions Cup 1/16
Global 2-5
Forge vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ATO
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
PAC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 2
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TIJ
1 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |