Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
3º
1º
48
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
PAC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 2
FOR
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
HFX
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
1 - 2
CAV
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |