Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
3º
1º
35
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 48 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
83.5% | 18% |
|
Play-offs
|
13.5% | 29% |
|
Next round
|
3% | 53% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
PAC
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 2
FOR
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 31 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
HFX
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
1 - 2
CAV
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |