Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
3º
2º
14
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 42 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 41 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 39 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 30 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 28 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
8º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
53.5% | 30% |
|
Play-offs
|
24.5% | 25.5% |
|
Next round
|
17.5% | 38.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
4.5% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
CHI
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ATO
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ORL
3 - 1
CAV
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 3
ORL
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |