Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ATO
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
PAC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 3
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 1
CAV
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |