Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
2º
55
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 3
FOR
19%
26%
56%
|
73 | 15 | 58 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
FOR
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 3
YOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
CAV
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |