Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
YOR
4 - 0
FOR
29%
29%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
3 - 1
EDM
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |