Canadian Premier League Final
Global 2-0
Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
YOR
4 - 0
FOR
29%
29%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
YOR
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
EDM
0 - 1
FOR
20%
28%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
3 - 1
EDM
77%
17%
6%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAV
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 0
HFX
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
4 - 1
VAL
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |