Forge vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
69%
20%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 0
LAV
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAV
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 4
PAC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
YOR
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
ATO
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 3
ATO
28%
23%
50%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 1
HFX
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |