Forge vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 1
FOR
22%
28%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
HFX
0 - 1
FOR
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATO
0 - 3
FOR
22%
28%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAC
49%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
EDM
3 - 4
ATO
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
ATO
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATO
0 - 3
FOR
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
HFX
2 - 1
ATO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ATO
3 - 1
CAV
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |