Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
WAH
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 6
DUN
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
STR
0 - 3
DUN
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 2
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STR
2 - 5
QUE
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
IRV
2 - 5
STR
7%
13%
81%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 0
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |